Mortality Associated with Priority Diseases in Flood-Affected Areas Using District Health Information System (DHIS2) During September-December 2022: Pakistan Experience.

OBJECTIVES: To quantify the burden of communicable diseases and characterize the most reported infections during public health emergency of floods in Pakistan. METHODS: The study's design is a descriptive trend analysis. The study utilized the disease data reported to District Health Information System (DHIS2) for the 12 most frequently reported priority diseases under the Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) system in Pakistan. RESULTS: In total, there were 1,532,963 suspected cases during August to December 2022 in flood-affected districts (n = 75) across Pakistan; Sindh Province reported the highest number of cases (n = 692,673) from 23 districts, followed by Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) (n = 568,682) from 17 districts, Balochistan (n = 167,215) from 32 districts, and Punjab (n = 104,393) from 3 districts. High positivity was reported for malaria (79,622/201,901; 39.4%), followed by acute diarrhea (non-cholera) (23/62; 37.1%), hepatitis A and E (47/252; 18.7%), and dengue (603/3245; 18.6%). The crude mortality rate was 11.9 per 10 000 population (1824/1,532,963 [deaths/cases]). CONCLUSION: The study identified acute respiratory infection, acute diarrhea, malaria, and skin diseases as the most prevalent diseases. This suggests that preparedness efforts and interventions targeting these diseases should be prioritized in future flood response plans. The study highlights the importance of strengthening the IDSR as a Disease Early Warning System through the implementation of the DHIS2.

Historical Mortality Dynamics on the Baja California Peninsula : Marriage, Mining Booms, Migration, and Infectious Disease.

Historical demographic research shows that the factors influencing mortality risk are labile across time and space. This is particularly true for datasets that span societal transitions. Here, we seek to understand how marriage, migration, and the local economy influenced mortality dynamics in a rapidly changing environment characterized by high in-migration and male-biased sex ratios. Mortality records were extracted from a compendium of historical vital records for the Baja California peninsula (Mexico). Our sample consists of 1,201 mortality records spanning AD 1835-1900. Findings from Cox proportional hazard models indicate that (1) marriage was associated with a protective effect for both sexes; (2) residing in a mining town was associated with higher mortality for men, but not women; (3) migration was associated with decreased mortality risk for women, but not men; and (4) the risk of mortality increased in the face of infectious disease, but decreased over time. Despite the early initiation of reproduction for women, marriage had a protective effect, likely because marriage linked women to resources. Although mining boomtowns were associated with elevated risk factors generally, only men experienced greater mortality risk, likely due to dangerous working conditions that women did not experience. Last, female, but not male, migrants experienced greater longevity, possibly because exposure to harsh labor conditions eroded the protective effect of selection bias for men. Together, these results shed light on an understudied historical population and broaden our understanding of demographic dynamics in preindustrial settings.

The epidemiological profile of incidence and mortality from epidemics in complex humanitarian emergencies from 1990 to 2022 - A scoping review.

AIM: This study aimed to investigate the impact of communicable diseases with epidemic potential in complex emergency (CE) situations, focusing on the epidemiological profile of incidence and mortality and exploring underlying factors contributing to increased epidemic risks. METHODS: Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses for Scoping Review (PRISMA-ScR) guidelines, we conducted a scoping review of articles published between 1990 and 2022. The search included terms related to complex emergencies, communicable diseases, outbreaks, and epidemics. We identified 92 epidemics related to CE occurring in 32 different countries. RESULTS: Communicable diseases like Shigellosis, Cholera, Measles, Meningococcal meningitis, Yellow Fever, and Malaria caused significant morbidity and mortality. Diarrhoeal diseases, particularly Cholera and Shigellosis, had the highest incidence rates. Shigella specifically had an incidence of 241.0 per 1000 (people at risk), with a mortality rate of 11.7 per 1000, while Cholera's incidence was 13.0 per 1000, with a mortality rate of 0.22 per 1000. Measles followed, with an incidence of 25.0 per 1000 and a mortality rate of 0.76 per 1000. Meningococcal Meningitis had an incidence rate of 1.3 per 1000 and a mortality rate of 0.13 per 1000. Despite their lower incidences, yellow fever at 0.8 per 1000 and malaria at 0.4 per 1000, their high case fatality rates of 20.1% and 0.4% remained concerning in CE. The qualitative synthesis reveals that factors such as water, sanitation, and hygiene, shelter and settlements, food and nutrition, and public health and healthcare in complex emergencies affect the risk of epidemics. CONCLUSION: Epidemics during complex emergencies could potentially lead to a public health crisis. Between 1990 and 2022, there have been no statistically significant changes in the trend of incidence, mortality, or fatality rates of epidemic diseases in CE. It is crucial to understand that all epidemics identified in CE are fundamentally preventable.

Investing in Africa's scientific future.

Africa bears a disproportionate burden of infectious diseases, accounting for a substantial percentage of global cases. Malaria, HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, cholera, Ebola, Lassa fever, and other tropical diseases, such as dengue and chikungunya, have had a profound impact on morbidity and mortality. Various factors contribute to the higher prevalence and incidence of infectious diseases in Africa, including socioeconomic challenges, limited access to health care, inadequate sanitation and hygiene infrastructure, climate-related factors, and endemicity of certain diseases in specific regions. A skilled workforce is crucial to addressing these challenges. Unfortunately, many countries in Africa often lack the required resources, and aspiring scientists frequently seek educational and career opportunities abroad, leading to a substantial loss of talent and expertise from the continent. This talent migration, referred to as "brain drain," exacerbates the existing training gaps and hampers the sustainability of research within Africa.

Effect of antimicrobial de-escalation strategy on 14-day mortality among intensive care unit patients: a retrospective propensity score-matched cohort study with inverse probability-of-treatment weighting.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of antimicrobial de-escalation (ADE) strategy and assess its effect on 14-day mortality among intensive care unit patients. METHODS: A single-center retrospective cohort study was conducted on patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with infectious diseases between January 2018 and December 2020. Patients were stratified into three groups based on the initial treatment regimen within 5 days of antimicrobial administration: ADE, No Change, and Other Change. Confounders between groups were screened using one-way ANOVA and Chi-square analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors for 14-day mortality. Potential confounders were balanced using propensity score inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), followed by multivariate logistic regression analysis to evaluate the effect of ADE strategy on 14-day mortality. RESULTS: A total of 473 patients met the inclusion criteria, with 53 (11.2%) in the ADE group, 173 (36.6%) in the No Change group, and 247 (52.2%) in the Other Change group. The 14-day mortality rates in the three groups were 9.4%, 11.6%, and 21.9%, respectively. After IPTW, the adjusted odds ratio for 14-day mortality comparing No Change with ADE was 1.557 (95% CI 1.078-2.247, P = 0.0181) while comparing Other Change with ADE was 1.282(95% CI 0.884-1.873, P = 0.1874). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of ADE strategy was low among intensive care unit patients. The ADE strategy demonstrated a protective effect or no adverse effect on 14-day mortality compared to the No Change or Other Change strategies, respectively. These findings provide evidence supporting the implementation of the ADE strategy in ICU patients.

Comorbilidades infecciosas en la gravedad y mortalidad por Covid-19: análisis del aporte científico en The Lancet Publishing Group / Infectious comorbidities in severity and mortality from Covid-19: analysis of the scientific contribution in The Lancet Publishing Group

El número de casos totales de la enfermedad coronavirus-2019 (Covid-19) sigue aumentando rápidamente, amenazando a miles o millones de personas con condiciones crónicas preexistentes que se ven afectados de manera desproporcionada. Hasta el 2020, el centro de recursos de coronavirus de la Universidad Johns Hopkins informó que en todo el mundo más de 180 países han sido afectados con Covid-19 con más de doce millones de casos confirmados y más de 500,000 muertes. A medida que continúa la investigación relacionada con los posibles factores de riesgo de mortalidad por Covid-19, se hace evidente que las personas con comorbilidades subyacentes, como enfermedades cardiovasculares, hipertensión, diabetes, insuficiencia cardíaca congestiva, enfermedad cerebrovascular, enfermedad renal crónica, enfermedad hepática crónica, cáncer, enfermedad pulmonar obstructiva crónica, el asma y el VIH/SIDA pueden tener un mayor riesgo de muerte por Covid-19. El objetivo de este trabajo es determinar las comorbilidades infecciosas en la gravedad y mortalidad por Covid-19 especialmente asociadas con VIH/SIDA y tubercolosis, respodiendo a la siguiente pregunta: ¿La comunidad científica mundial se ha preocupado por la comorbilidad infecciosa en casos de covid-19 severos y fatales?. Un análisis hecho al grupo de referencias The Lancet Publishing Group fue realizado para dar repuesta a dicha pregunta(AU)

The number of total cases of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) continues to rise rapidly, threatening thousands or millions of people with pre-existing chronic conditions who are disproportionately affected. As of 2020, the Johns Hopkins University Coronavirus Resource Center reported that worldwide more than 180 countries have been affected with COVID-19 with more than twelve million confirmed cases and more than 500,000 deaths. As research related to potential risk factors for mortality from COVID-19 continues, it becomes clear that people with underlying comorbidities, such as cardiovascular disease, hypertension, diabetes, congestive heart failure, cerebrovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic liver disease, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, and HIV/AIDS may be at increased risk of death from COVID-19. The objective of this work is to determine the infectious comorbidities in severity and mortality from Covid-19, especially associated with HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis, answering the following question: Has the world scientific community been concerned about infectious comorbidity in covid-19 severe and fatal cases? An analysis made to the reference group The Lancet Publishing Group was carried out to answer this question(AU)

Síndrome inflamatória multissistêmica em crianças infectadas por coronavírus: uma revisão integrativa / Multisystemic inflamatory syndrome in children infected by coronavirus: an integrative review / Síndrome inflamatorio multisistémico en niños infectados por coronavirus: una revisión integradora

Durante a pandemia de COVID-19, foram observadas manifestações atípicas em pacientes pediátricos em diversas regiões do mundo, e o conjunto desses sintomas caracterizou uma nova patologia denominada Síndrome Inflamatória Multissistêmica em Crianças (MIS-C), ou Síndrome Inflamatória Multissistêmica Pediátrica Temporariamente associada ao COVID-19 (PIMS- TS). O objetivo desta revisão foi analisar as manifestações clínicas e as possíveis complicações relacionadas a tal quadro inflamatório. Foi realizada uma busca por artigos científicos nas bases de dados Embase, PubMed e Web of Science, por meio da combinação dos descritores "MIS-C", "PIMS- TS" e "COVID-19". Após a análise dos artigos encontrados, e considerando critérios de inclusão e exclusão, foram selecionados 15 estudos para compor esta revisão. A maioria dos estudos mencionaram complicações gastrointestinais, cardiovasculares, respiratórias e mucocutâneas. Ademais, foram encontrados marcadores que indicavam estado inflamatório generalizado e coagulopatia. Assim, concluiu-se que MIS-C provavelmente é uma síndrome manifestada após a infecção por SARS-CoV-2, podendo ocasionar quadros mais graves, mas com baixas taxas de mortalidade.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, atypical manifestations were observed in pediatric patients in different regions of the world, and the set of these symptoms characterized a new pathology called Multisystemic Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C), or Pediatric Multisystemic Inflammatory Syndrome Temporarily associated with COVID-19 (PIMS-TS). The purpose of this review was to analyze the clinical manifestations and possible complications related to such an inflammatory condition. A search for scientific articles was carried out in the databases Embase, PubMed and Web of Science, by combining the descriptors "MIS-C", "PIMS-TS" and "COVID-19". After analyzing the articles found, and considering inclusion and exclusion criteria, 15 studies were selected to compose this review. Most studies mentioned gastrointestinal, cardiovascular, respiratory and mucocutaneous complications. In addition, markers were found that indicated generalized inflammatory status and coagulopathy. Thus, it was concluded that MIS-C is probably a syndrome manifested after infection by SARS-CoV-2, which can cause more severe conditions, but with low mortality rates.

Durante la pandemia de COVID-19 se observaron manifestaciones atípicas en pacientes pediátricos de diferentes regiones del mundo, y el conjunto de estos síntomas caracterizó una nueva patología denominada Síndrome Inflamatorio Multisistémico en Niños (SMI-C), o Síndrome Inflamatorio Multisistémico Pediátrico Asociado Temporalmente a COVID-19 (SIPM-TS). El propósito de esta revisión fue analizar las manifestaciones clínicas y las posibles complicaciones relacionadas con dicha condición inflamatoria. Se realizó una búsqueda de artículos científicos en las bases de datos Embase, PubMed y Web of Science, combinando los descriptores "MIS-C", "PIMS- TS" y "COVID-19". Tras analizar los artículos encontrados, y teniendo en cuenta los criterios de inclusión y exclusión, se seleccionaron 15 estudios para componer esta revisión. La mayoría de los estudios mencionaron complicaciones gastrointestinales, cardiovasculares, respiratorias y mucocutáneas. Además, se encontraron marcadores que indicaban un estado inflamatorio generalizado y coagulopatía. Así pues, se concluyó que el SMI-C es probablemente un síndrome que se manifiesta tras la infección por el SARS-CoV-2, que puede causar cuadros más graves, pero con bajas tasas de mortalidad.

Changes in mortality in a non-industrialized Portugal: Coimbra Municipal Cemetery records (1861-1914) and identified osteological collections.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate if there were changes in mortality knowing that industrialization was a slow and late process in Portugal. MATERIALS: The biographic information (1) of the individuals buried at the Coimbra Municipal Cemetery, considering three quinquennia: 1861-1865 (n = 1111, 18.3%), 1870-1974 (n = 2602, 42.7%), 1910-1914 (n = 2374, 39.0%), related to the periods before, during and at the end of the second industrialization and (2) of the Coimbra identified osteological collections (CIOC, N = 1796) composed of individuals who were born and died in the city. METHODS: Excel databases with the biographic information were analyzed with SPSS. RESULTS: Data from the cemetery show statistically significant differences between sexes and age-at-death mortalities. Non-adult mortality (higher in the age range from 1 to 7 years) has decreased over time which has increased mean age-at-death. The main adult occupations are domestic work (females) and craft activities (males). Child labor is common after the age of 14. The main causes of death (in both cemetery and CIOC records) were infections, respiratory diseases, heart disease, and malignant neoplasm. Among the communicable diseases, tuberculosis accounted for the highest number of deaths. The identified individuals have lesions compatible with tuberculosis and sinusitis while malignant neoplasms are more difficult to identify. The high prevalence of heart disease can overshadow other causes of death. CONCLUSIONS: In the absence of industrialization, tuberculosis, heart disease, and malignant neoplasms increased over time, while respiratory diseases decreased. SIGNIFICANCE: Mortality profile changed between 1861-1864 and 1910-1914 in Coimbra. LIMITATIONS: The causes of death were studied, but not all diseases. SUGGESTIONS FOR FURTHER RESEARCH: Study of other cemetery records for further comparison.

Association between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in the first seven days of sepsis and mortality / Asociación entre la relación neutrófilos/linfocitos durante los primeros siete días de sepsis y mortalidad

IntroductionThe neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in the diagnosis of sepsis has been found to be higher in non-survivors than in survivors, and that is associated with mortality. A higher NLR in non-survivors than in survivors has been reported in two studies during patient follow-up; however, NLR was not controlled for sepsis severity. Thus, the objective of this study was to determine whether there is an association between NLR in the first seven days and mortality controlling for sepsis severity.MethodsThis observational study, which included septic patients, was conducted in the Intensive Care Units of 3 Spanish hospitals. NLR was recorded on the first, fourth, and eighth day of sepsis. Multiple logistic regression analyses were carried out to determine the association between NLR during the first 7 days of sepsis diagnosis and mortality controlling for sepsis severity.ResultsThirty-day non-surviving patients (n=68) compared to surviving patients (n=135) showed higher NLR on the first (p<0.001), fourth (p<0.001), and eighth (p<0.001) day of sepsis diagnosis. Multiple logistic regression analysis found an association between NLR at days first (p<0.001), fourth (p=0.004), and eighth (p=0.01) of sepsis diagnosis and mortality controlling for SOFA and lactic acid in those days.ConclusionsThe new finding of our study was the association between NLR in the first seven days of sepsis and mortality controlling for sepsis severity.

IntroducciónSe ha objetivado que la relación neutrófilos/linfocitos (NLR) en el momento del diagnóstico de la sepsis es mayor en fallecidos que en supervivientes y que está asociada con la mortalidad. En dos estudios, se ha reportado mayor NLR en fallecidos durante la evolución; sin embargo, NLR no se controló por la gravedad de la sepsis. Por lo tanto, el objetivo de este estudio consistió en determinar si existe una asociación entre NLR durante los primeros siete días y mortalidad, controlando por gravedad de la sepsis.MétodosEste estudio observacional, incluyendo pacientes sépticos, fue realizado en las Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos de tres hospitales españoles. Se registró NLR en los días 1, 4 y 8 del diagnóstico de la sepsis. Se realizó regresión logística múltiple para determinar la asociación entre NLR durante los primeros siete días y mortalidad (a los 30 días), controlando por gravedad de la sepsis.ResultadosLos pacientes fallecidos en los primeros 30 días (n = 68), comparados con los supervivientes (n = 135), tuvieron mayor NLR en los días 1 (p < 0,001), 4 (p < 0,001) y 8 (p < 0,001) del diagnóstico de la sepsis. La regresión logística múltiple mostró la asociación entre NLR en los días 1 (p < 0,001), 4 (p = 0,004) y 8 (p = 0,01) del diagnóstico de la sepsis y mortalidad, controlando por SOFA y lactatemia en esos días.ConclusionesEl nuevo hallazgo de nuestro estudio fue la asociación entre NLR durante los primeros siete días de la sepsis y la mortalidad, controlando por gravedad de la sepsis.

Model of Epidemic Kinetics with a Source on the Example of Moscow.

A new theoretical model of epidemic kinetics is considered, which uses elements of the physical model of the kinetics of the atomic level populations of an active laser medium as follows: a description of states and their populations, transition rates between states, an integral operator, and a source of influence. It is shown that to describe a long-term epidemic, it is necessary to use the concept of the source of infection. With a model constant source of infection, the epidemic, in terms of the number of actively infected people, goes to a stationary regime, which does not depend on the population size and the characteristics of quarantine measures. Statistics for Moscow daily increase in infected is used to determine the real source of infection. An interpretation of the waves generated by the source is given. It is shown that more accurate statistics of excess mortality can only be used to clarify the frequency rate of mortality of the epidemic, but not to determine the source of infection.

Sex differences in the 10-year survival of patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis in the Q-Cohort Study.

Women have a longer life expectancy than men in the general population. However, it has remained unclear whether this advantage is maintained in patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis. The aim of this study was to compare the risk of mortality, especially infection-related mortality, between male and female hemodialysis patients. A total of 3065 Japanese hemodialysis patients aged ≥ 18 years old were followed up for 10 years. The primary outcomes were all-cause and infection-related mortality. The associations between sex and these outcomes were examined using Cox proportional hazards models. During the median follow-up of 8.8 years, 1498 patients died of any cause, 387 of whom died of infection. Compared with men, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for all-cause and infection-related mortality in women were 0.51 (0.45-0.58, P < 0.05) and 0.36 (0.27-0.47, P < 0.05), respectively. These findings remained significant even when propensity score-matching or inverse probability of treatment weighting adjustment methods were employed. Furthermore, even when the non-infection-related mortality was considered a competing risk, the infection-related mortality rate in women was still significantly lower than that in men. Regarding all-cause and infection-related deaths, women have a survival advantage compared with men among Japanese patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis.

Network percolation reveals adaptive bridges of the mobility network response to COVID-19.

Human mobility is crucial to understand the transmission pattern of COVID-19 on spatially embedded geographic networks. This pattern seems unpredictable, and the propagation appears unstoppable, resulting in over 350,000 death tolls in the U.S. by the end of 2020. Here, we create the spatiotemporal inter-county mobility network using 10 TB (Terabytes) trajectory data of 30 million smart devices in the U.S. in the first six months of 2020. We investigate the bond percolation process by removing the weakly connected edges. As we increase the threshold, the mobility network nodes become less interconnected and thus experience surprisingly abrupt phase transitions. Despite the complex behaviors of the mobility network, we devised a novel approach to identify a small, manageable set of recurrent critical bridges, connecting the giant component and the second-largest component. These adaptive links, located across the United States, played a key role as valves connecting components in divisions and regions during the pandemic. Beyond, our numerical results unveil that network characteristics determine the critical thresholds and the bridge locations. The findings provide new insights into managing and controlling the connectivity of mobility networks during unprecedented disruptions. The work can also potentially offer practical future infectious diseases both globally and locally.

Lactate dehydrogenase to albumin ratio as a prognostic factor for patients with severe infection requiring intensive care.

ABSTRACT: This study was performed to verify whether lactate dehydrogenase to albumin (LDH/ALB) ratio could be used as an independent prognostic factor in patients with severe infection requiring intensive care.We reviewed electronic medical records of patients hospitalized to the intensive care unit via the emergency department with a diagnosis of infection between January 2014 and December 2019. From the collected data, ALB-based ratios (LDH/ALB, blood urea nitrogen to albumin, C-reactive protein to albumin, and lactate to albumin ratios) and some severity scores (modified early warning score, mortality in emergency department sepsis score [MEDS], and Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation II [APACHE II] score) were calculated. LDH/ALB ratio for predicting the in-hospital mortality was compared with other ALB-based ratios and severity scales by univariable and receiver-operating characteristics curve analysis. Modified severity scores by LDH/ALB ratio and multivariable logistic regression were used to verify the independence and usefulness of the LDH/ALB ratio.The median LDH/ALB ratio was higher in non-survivors than survivors (166.9 [interquartile range: 127.2-233.1] vs 214.7 [interquartile range: 160.2-309.7], P < .001). The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve of the LDH/ALB ratio (0.642, 95% confidence interval: 0.602-0.681, P < .001) was not lower than that of other ALB-based ratios and severity scores. From multivariable logistic regression, LDH/ALB ratio was independently associated with in-hospital mortality (odds ratio = 1.001, 95% confidence interval: 1.000-1.002, P = .047). Area under the receiver-operating characteristics curves of MEDS and APACHE II scores were improved by modification with LDH/ALB ratio (MEDS: 0.643 vs 0.680, P < .001; APACHE II score: 0.675 vs 0.700, P = .003).LDH/ALB ratio may be useful as the prognostic factor in patients with severe infection requiring intensive care.

Low Circulating Concentrations of Very Long Chain Saturated Fatty Acids Are Associated with High Risk of Mortality in Kidney Transplant Recipients.

Kidney transplant recipients (KTR) are at increased risk of mortality, particularly from infectious diseases, due to lifelong immunosuppression. Although very long chain saturated fatty acids (VLSFA) have been identified as crucial for phagocytosis and clearance of infections, their association with mortality in immunocompromised patient groups has not been studied. In this prospective cohort study we included 680 outpatient KTR with a functional graft ≥1 year and 193 healthy controls. Plasma VLSFA (arachidonic acid (C20:0), behenic acid (C22:0) and lignoceric acid (C24:0)) were measured by gas chromatography coupled with a flame ionization detector. Cox regression analyses was used to prospectively study the associations of VLSFA with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. All studied VLSFA were significantly lower in KTR compared to healthy controls (all p < 0.001). During a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 5.6 (5.2-6.3) years, 146 (21%) KTR died, of which 41 (28%) died due to infectious diseases. In KTR, C22:0 was inversely associated with risk of all-cause mortality, with a HR (95% CI) per 1-SD-increment of 0.79 (0.64-0.99), independent of adjustment for potential confounders. All studied VLSFA were particularly strongly associated with mortality from infectious causes, with respective HRs for C20:0, C22:0 and C24:0 of 0.53 (0.35-0.82), 0.48 (0.30-0.75), and 0.51 (0.33-0.80), independent of potential confounders. VLSFA are inversely associated with infectious disease mortality in KTR after adjustment, including HDL-cholesterol. Further studies are needed to assess the effect of VLSFA-containing foods on the risk of infectious diseases in immunocompromised patient groups.

All-cause and cause-specific mortality during and following incarceration in Brazil: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Mortality during and after incarceration is poorly understood in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). The need to address this knowledge gap is especially urgent in South America, which has the fastest growing prison population in the world. In Brazil, insufficient data have precluded our understanding of all-cause and cause-specific mortality during and after incarceration. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We linked incarceration and mortality databases for the Brazilian state of Mato Grosso do Sul to obtain a retrospective cohort of 114,751 individuals with recent incarceration. Between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2018, we identified 3,127 deaths of individuals with recent incarceration (705 in detention and 2,422 following release). We analyzed age-standardized, all-cause, and cause-specific mortality rates among individuals detained in different facility types and following release, compared to non-incarcerated residents. We additionally modeled mortality rates over time during and after incarceration for all causes of death, violence, or suicide. Deaths in custody were 2.2 times the number reported by the national prison administration (n = 317). Incarcerated men and boys experienced elevated mortality, compared with the non-incarcerated population, due to increased risk of death from violence, suicide, and communicable diseases, with the highest standardized incidence rate ratio (IRR) in semi-open prisons (2.4; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.0 to 2.8), police stations (3.1; 95% CI: 2.5 to 3.9), and youth detention (8.1; 95% CI: 5.9 to 10.8). Incarcerated women experienced increased mortality from suicide (IRR = 6.0, 95% CI: 1.2 to 17.7) and communicable diseases (IRR = 2.5, 95% CI: 1.1 to 5.0). Following release from prison, mortality was markedly elevated for men (IRR = 3.0; 95% CI: 2.8 to 3.1) and women (IRR = 2.4; 95% CI: 2.1 to 2.9). The risk of violent death and suicide was highest immediately post-release and declined over time; however, all-cause mortality remained elevated 8 years post-release. The limitations of this study include inability to establish causality, uncertain reliability of data during incarceration, and underestimation of mortality rates due to imperfect database linkage. CONCLUSIONS: Incarcerated individuals in Brazil experienced increased mortality from violence, suicide, and communicable diseases. Mortality was heightened following release for all leading causes of death, with particularly high risk of early violent death and elevated all-cause mortality up to 8 years post-release. These disparities may have been underrecognized in Brazil due to underreporting and insufficient data.

Pathological findings in African buffaloes (Syncerus caffer) in South Africa.

The African buffalo (Syncerus caffer) is an iconic species of South African megafauna. As the farmed buffalo population expands, the potential impacts on population health and disease transmission warrant investigation. A retrospective study of skin biopsy and necropsy samples from 429 animals was performed to assess the spectrum of conditions seen in buffaloes in South Africa. Determination of the cause of death (or euthanasia) could not be made in 33.1% (136/411) of the necropsy cases submitted due to autolysis or the absence of significant lesions in the samples submitted. Infectious and parasitic diseases accounted for 53.5% (147/275) of adult fatal cases and non-infectious conditions accounted for 34.9% (96/275). Abortions and neonatal deaths made up 11.6% (32/275) of necropsy cases. Rift Valley fever, bovine viral diarrhoea, malignant catarrhal fever, tuberculosis, bacterial pneumonia, anaesthetic deaths, cachexia and hepatotoxic lesions were the most common causes of death. The range of infectious, parasitic and non-infectious diseases to which African buffaloes were susceptible was largely similar to diseases in domestic cattle which supports concerns regarding disease transmission between the two species. The similarity between diseases experienced in both species will assist wildlife veterinarians in the diagnosis and treatment of diseases in captive African buffaloes. The present study likely does not represent accurate disease prevalence data within the source population of buffaloes, and diseases such as anthrax, brucellosis and foot and mouth disease are under-represented in this study. Hepatic ductal plate abnormalities and haemorrhagic septicaemia have not, to our knowledge, been previously reported in African buffaloes.